Markets Brief

Thursday, July 2, 2026

Last updated 3:07 PM PT

Market Value

$212,362.25

Cost $239,993.08

Day's Gain

-$15,008.18

-6.60%

Total Gain

-$27,630.83

-11.51%

AI semis & memory

MU

Day's Gain $
-$3,403.20
Day's Gain %
-5.49%
Total Gain $
-$4,709.90
Total Gain %
-7.45%

Qty # 60 · Last Price $975.56 · Value $58,533.60 · Total Cost $63,243.50

Memory is getting hit with the semis tape, not a broken AI demand thesis; Micron still lives and dies on HBM pricing, DRAM supply discipline, and AI server capex. At down 7.45% in the position, I like buying weakness in pieces because the trade is on when margins expand with HBM mix and supply stays tight.

AI buildout — fiber, storage, power

SNDK

Day's Gain $
-$2,872.20
Day's Gain %
-14.13%
Total Gain $
-$5,325.00
Total Gain %
-23.38%

Qty # 10 · Last Price $1,745.00 · Value $17,450.00 · Total Cost $22,775.00

Semis are being repriced as AI capex fear hits the tape, but SNDK is storage, not a vanity multiple story, and the buildout still needs NAND, SSDs, power, and bandwidth. At -14% today and -23% on the position, I would not puke it into a sector downdraft; buy weakness only in pieces, because margins and AI data-center demand matter more than this headline panic.

Other holdings

AMAT

Day's Gain $
-$2,393.50
Day's Gain %
-7.35%
Total Gain $
-$1,681.90
Total Gain %
-5.28%

Qty # 50 · Last Price $603.04 · Value $30,152.00 · Total Cost $31,833.90

Semicap equipment is getting punished, and with no fresh AMAT headline this is sector de-risking, not a broken story. Do not chase it today; own it for AI capex, advanced packaging, and service margins, but buy weakness only in pieces.

AMD

Day's Gain $
-$461.20
Day's Gain %
-4.26%
Total Gain $
-$1,185.20
Total Gain %
-10.27%

Qty # 20 · Last Price $517.82 · Value $10,356.40 · Total Cost $11,541.60

AI semis are the story, and these headlines do not change AMD one bit; this looks like beta pain, not a thesis break. At down 10% in the position, I’d stay long but buy weakness only in pieces, because the tells are HBM, CoWoS, hyperscaler capex, and margin proof.

BE

Day's Gain $
-$558.30
Day's Gain %
-6.43%
Total Gain $
-$1,833.30
Total Gain %
-18.41%

Qty # 30 · Last Price $270.89 · Value $8,126.70 · Total Cost $9,960.00

Energy is the lens, and these headlines are pure noise for Bloom: nuclear antineutrino detection and baseball do nothing for margins, backlog, service profitability, or power-demand customers. Down 6.43% today and -18.41% in the position, I would not add here; prove margin durability and customer demand first, then buy weakness in pieces.

GEV

Day's Gain $
-$531.00
Day's Gain %
-1.87%
Total Gain $
$597.25
Total Gain %
2.19%

Qty # 25 · Last Price $1,113.11 · Value $27,827.75 · Total Cost $27,230.50

GEV is an electrification and grid-power story, and with no fresh headlines I treat the red day as noise, not a thesis break. Stay long, trim only if position sizing got too big, because the fundamentals are still tied to power demand, gas turbines, and grid capex.

INTC

Day's Gain $
-$1,000.50
Day's Gain %
-5.25%
Total Gain $
-$1,810.99
Total Gain %
-9.12%

Qty # 150 · Last Price $120.35 · Value $18,052.50 · Total Cost $19,863.49

Semis are bifurcating: memory and AI supply-chain winners are getting paid, while Intel still has to prove foundry margins, capex discipline, and customer wins. At -9% in the position, I’d trim dead money into strength unless management shows real external foundry demand, booyah.

MRVL

Day's Gain $
-$2,408.40
Day's Gain %
-9.84%
Total Gain $
-$5,711.90
Total Gain %
-20.56%

Qty # 90 · Last Price $245.29 · Value $22,076.10 · Total Cost $27,788.00

AI hardware is still the sector, but this headline is memory-led, not MRVL-specific, so I would not chase a falling tape off a sympathy story. For MRVL, the whole game is custom silicon and optical leverage with margin follow-through; stay long only in pieces on weakness, but I’d trim if AI orders aren’t converting into earnings power.

SPCX

Day's Gain $
$8.92
Day's Gain %
2.83%
Total Gain $
-$95.81
Total Gain %
-22.82%

Qty # 2 · Last Price $162.00 · Value $324.00 · Total Cost $419.81

Space is the sector call, and Ives just put the bull case in writing with an Outperform and $190 target while SPCX is still deep red in the position. I like this name here in pieces, but don’t chase the 3% pop; own the SpaceX scarcity angle and buy weakness.

TSM

Day's Gain $
-$201.40
Day's Gain %
-2.27%
Total Gain $
-$844.80
Total Gain %
-8.87%

Qty # 20 · Last Price $434.16 · Value $8,683.20 · Total Cost $9,528.00

Semis are getting hit because the Meta cloud read-through makes AI capex feel crowded, and Trinity Street cutting its TSM stake adds selling pressure, but the foundry monopoly story is intact. I’d own it, don’t trade it: TSM still controls the CoWoS bottleneck and premium-node margin stack, so buy weakness in pieces and keep position size sane.

WDC

Day's Gain $
-$1,187.40
Day's Gain %
-9.92%
Total Gain $
-$5,029.28
Total Gain %
-31.81%

Qty # 20 · Last Price $539.00 · Value $10,780.00 · Total Cost $15,809.28

Memory first: the Sandisk headline says the AI bid is alive in storage, but WDC getting hit 10% while the position is down 32% says Marco owns the laggard side of the trade. I'd keep only a tracking stake and demand proof in margins, enterprise demand, and supply discipline before adding; booyah, discipline beats hope here.

Watchlist

AVGO

BROADCOM INC COM

$360.45 -$8.89 (-2.41%)

Trump’s tech-stock disclosure is a sentiment spark for mega-cap AI, but it does not change the Broadcom setup: custom ASICs, AI networking, and VMware margin expansion still drive the story. Watch hyperscaler order visibility, CoWoS and HBM availability, and whether AI revenue keeps compounding; if the selloff is just headline fatigue, I like this name on weakness.

CBRS

CEREBRAS SYSTEMS INC COM CL A

$204.86 -$16.41 (-7.42%)

No fresh headlines on CBRS, so I treat this 7% hit as sector de-risking, not a thesis break. Watch the next update for margins, capex discipline, and customer concentration; I would not chase the bounce until fundamentals do the talking.

IRDM

IRIDIUM COMMUNICATIONS INC COM

$53.75 -$1.97 (-3.54%)

IRDM is satellite communications, and a Hormuz shipping scare puts maritime resilience, defense connectivity, and remote asset tracking right back in the bull case. Today's drop does not break the setup; watch service margins and subscriber adds, because I like this name only when chaos turns into contracted demand.

LITE

LUMENTUM HLDGS INC COM

$728.32 -$72.84 (-9.09%)

Optical is still the AI plumbing trade, but with no fresh headline a 9% down day says watch margins, hyperscaler concentration, and supply-chain timing before chasing. I like the setup only if capex turns into durable revenue, not just a richer multiple.

PLTR

PALANTIR TECHNOLOGIES INC CL A

$129.30 $3.57 (2.84%)

AI software is back in play, and D.A. Davidson’s buy-the-dip call puts Palantir’s premium valuation against its moat in government and enterprise data workflows. For a watchlist name, I want proof that commercial revenue and margins keep outrunning the multiple; above $129 the trade is on, but buy weakness in pieces.

PWR

QUANTA SVCS INC COM

$668.31 -$23.09 (-3.34%)

No fresh headlines means PWR’s 3.34% drop looks like heat coming out of a grid-power winner, not a thesis break. Watch transmission awards, data-center power demand, labor costs, and margin discipline; if backlog stays strong, I like this name on weakness.

Q

QNITY ELECTRONICS INC COMMON STOCK

$141.75 -$11.62 (-7.58%)

No fresh headline and a 7.6% hit tells me this is sector de-risking, not a confirmed fundamental break. Watch margins, customer concentration, and capex discipline on the next print; I would not chase the first bounce.

SIMO

SILICON MOTION TECHNOLOGY CORP SPONSORED ADR

$300.71 -$16.27 (-5.13%)

This headline is noise for SIMO; maritime welding does not move a NAND-controller story. Watch smartphone and PC storage demand, gross margins, and China order visibility after a 5% down day; I like it only if controller demand stays firm.

TSM

TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACT SPONSORED ADS

$434.16 -$10.07 (-2.27%)

Semis are getting hit because AI winners got crowded and foreign money is dumping Asia, so TSM’s tape is macro pressure, not a broken foundry story. Watch CoWoS capacity, HBM pull-through, and hyperscaler capex; if those stay firm, I like this name on weakness.